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Mortality from cancer in relation to smoking: 50 years observations on British doctors.

机译:与吸烟有关的癌症死亡率:英国医生50年的观察。

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摘要

A total of 34,439 male British doctors, who reported their smoking habits in November 1951, were followed, with periodic up date of changes in their habits, until death, emigration, censoring. or November 2001. Information was obtained about their mortality from 28 of the 30 types of cancer in men reviewed by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (no death was recorded from the other two). In all, 11 of the 13 types in men that the Agency classed as liable to be caused by smoking were significantly related to smoking and the findings for the other two, which caused only few deaths, suggested they might be. Of the 13 types in men for which the Agency found only sparse or inconsistent data and for which we had data, only two appeared to be possibly related (one positively, one negatively), and the 638 deaths for the summed group were clearly unrelated to smoking. Of the two types for which the Agency thought that the relationship with smoking might be due to bias or confounding, the findings for one (prostate cancer) tended to support the belief that smoking was unrelated, and those for the other (colorectal cancer) showed a weak relationship with smoking, which (in a small subset) could not be attributed to confounding with the consumption of alcohol.
机译:总共追踪了34,439名英国男医生,他们报告了他们在1951年11月的吸烟习惯,并定期改变其习惯,直到死亡,移民,检查。或2001年11月。从国际癌症研究机构审查过的30种男性癌症中的28种获得了有关其死亡率的信息(其他两种均无死亡记录)。在该机构归类为可能由吸烟引起的13种男性中,有11种与吸烟显着相关,而其他两种仅导致极少死亡的调查结果表明可能与吸烟有关。在原子能机构仅发现稀疏或不一致的数据并且我们拥有数据的13种男性中,似乎只有两种可能相关(一种是正面的,一种是负面的),并且该汇总组的638例死亡显然与抽烟。 FDA认为与吸烟的关系可能是由于偏见或混淆所致的两种类型中,一种(前列腺癌)的发现倾向于支持吸烟与吸烟无关的信念,而另一种(前列腺癌)的发现表明与吸烟的关系较弱,这(一小部分)不能归因于与饮酒混淆。

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